Monday, September 11, 2023

The Danger of Predictions


 One thing I have gleaned from a study of history is that horrible mistakes can be made by assuming that other groups will react in a specific way. Some decisions from World War II are especially interesting:

  • Mussolini's decision to declare war on Britain and France.
  • Hitler's decision to declare war on the United States.
  • Japan's decision to attack Pearl Harbor.

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