Tuesday, October 02, 2018

A Good Time to Revisit the Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect

man using umbrella crossing the street during daytime

[Photo by Matthew Henry at Unsplash]

Briefly stated, the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect is as follows. You open the newspaper to an article on some subject you know well. In Murray's case, physics. In mine, show business. You read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the "wet streets cause rain" stories. Paper's full of them. 

In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know.

- Michael Crichton

Quick Look

The trailer for "Fury."

Verb



[Photo by Ramdan Authentic at Unsplash]


You are a verb; not a noun.

- Nicholas Bate

Monday, October 01, 2018

The Trade News

Very interesting.

Raylan Givens and the Importance of Listening

A memorable scene from "Justified."

"He's Taking Pictures of the Floor!"



David Kanigan, a good man, shared an Amtrak ride with a centipede.

First Paragraph

The soldier placed the flat, skin-wrapped package on the table before Colonel Zamatev and stepped back, standing rigidly at attention. Before diverting his attention to the package, Zamatev studied the soldier.

- From Last of the Breed by Louis L'Amour

Tennis Balls

Back by popular demand: The classic scene from "Henry V."

Games Advocates Play



I have conducted and supervised a lot of investigations and have seen each of these techniques raised by advocates for opposing sides. Although these games will always be with us it is important to know when either side is playing them. 

Arguing the case against your position can help to understand the other side's perspective and to note weaknesses in your own. [Be very wary of quickly labeling people because once you do so, your brain shuts down any further search for the truth.]

What an advocate says if a witness or adversary:

  • Shows emotion: "Aggressive. Temperamental. Manipulative. Rude. Distracting. Lacks objectivity."
  • Doesn't show emotion: "Cold. Robotic. Inhuman. Arrogant. Detached. Smug."
  • Has a detailed memory of events: "Rehearsed. Glib. Plotting. A little too clever."
  • Has a hazy memory of events: "Confused. Unreliable. Unstable. Lying."
  • Kept careful notes: "Plotting. Odd. Conniving. Manipulative."
  • Kept few or no notes: "Sloppy. Unaffected by events. Indifferent. Unreliable."
  • Seems naive: "A tool. A puppet. Unrealistic. Being directed by others."
  • Seems worldly: "Too smooth. Privileged. Should have known better. Not capable of mere mistakes."

First Paragraph

"The year 2016 was the seventieth anniversary of George Orwell's classic polemic Politics and the English Language (1946) indicting bad English for corrupting thought and slovenly thought for corrupting language."

- From Do I Make Myself Clear? A Practical Guide to Writing Well in the Modern Age by Harold Evans