What's Happening Now, Soon, and Eventually
The organization thinks it knows what is happening now and yet it often does not know what is happening now that will strongly shape what will happen soon or what will happen eventually.
The wolf that is now leaping for the throat gets all appropriate attention but what about the one behind that tree or those just over the top of that hill?
A healthy organization should have a spot reserved for a touch of paranoia and the willingness to pay serious attention to those who can provide sober predictions.
[A historical question to illustrate how things get overlooked: Do you know how the Russo-Japanese War started?].