Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Political Predictions

 Commentary magazine: John Podhoretz looks at the danger of reading tea leaves. An excerpt:

“Jimmy who?” was the classic DC scoff. People stopped scoffing and began celebrating at the Democratic convention, at the end of which the Gallup poll had Carter leading Ford by 31 points. Sure seemed like a runaway victory. It wasn’t. On election day, Carter won by 2—and if Ford had eked out another 100,000 votes in California, he would have secured the electoral votes necessary to retain his presidency.

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